WASHINGTON, Sep 15mbre (Hfrance.fr) - Democrats breathe easier on Wednesday after California Governor Gavin Newsom survived a Republican attempt to oust him with a recall election.
With the midterm elections looming next year which will determine which party controls the US Congress, here are four takeaways from Newsom's victory - for both parties.
COVID IS STILL KING
Newsom 's aggressive approach to containing the coronavirus pandemic has been the driving force of the recall movement. This also seems to be the main reason he survived.
About a third of voters said the pandemic was their main concern, according to a poll by output led for CNN - far more than any other issue.
As the Delta variant sweeps the country, Newsomhas been able to draw a stark contrast between states such as California, which have adopted sweeping virus mitigation measures, and Republican-led states such as Florida and Texas which have resisted it. Republican frontrunner in the recall election, radio show host Larry Elder, has said he will lift state mandates on vaccines and face masks. he was elected.
"If the next few months before mid-term, we are fighting over the mandates of vaccines and masks and over the safety of kids is good for Democrats, "said Robert Shrum, a longtime Democratic adviser who teaches at the University of Southern California.
TEXAS, FLORIDA AS A FOIL
Newsom nationalized the election, turning it into a test of Democratic versus Republican policies. He has spent much of the lastDay 1 of his campaign to denounce the actions of Republican-led states such as Texas, which recently passed laws restricting abortion, restricting access to the vote, and extending gun rights - and whose neither Governor, Greg Abbott, opposes the mask and vaccine warrants.
In New Jersey and Virginia, both The only states with gubernatorial elections this year, the two Democratic candidates are proposing much stricter requirements to handle COVID-19 and present their opponents as being out of step with the American public.
California's result, however, may not be fully applicable to other states. Newsom entered the recall with a huge advantage: Democrats outnumber Republicans in the state 2-1. Additionally, the recall process was conducted largely by neck.rrier and did not follow the contours of a normal election.
TRUMPISM LOOMS LARGE
Newsom also benefited from the rise of Elder as the main election foil. With his history of taking controversial conservative views on his radio show and his unwavering support for former Republican President Donald Trump, Elder has made an easy target.
As the election loomed, Newsom and his allies began to frequently invoke Trump, who lost nearly 30 percentage points to Democratic President Joe Biden in California last year.
"I have to fight the real Donald Trump," Biden said Monday at a campaign event for Newsom. "Well, this year the main Republican running for governor is the closest thing to uA Trump clone I've never seen. "
Raphael Sonenshein, political scientist at California State University in Los Angeles , said Newsom managed to organize the election to be about National Republicans and Trump, rather than his own record.
"If you run against yourself you are going to lose " he said.
For Republicans, the election has illustrated the dangers of having Trump contenders in competitive states and circumions where moderates, independents and suburban voters will be decisive. Perhaps this is a lesson that will apply to nomination elections Republican next year, when a host of Trump's allies and candidates endorsed by him challenge more centrist politicians.
" Republicans can certainly waste opportunitiespotential with an unsatisfactory selection of candidates "said Chris Stirewalt, Republican analyst with the American Enterprise Institute think tank in Washington.
The biggest concern among Democrats ahead of the recall was that forceful Republicans would vote en masse while their own voters neglected to run in a special election out of year. But Newsom and his allies seem to have alarmed Democrats enough to come out.
This should set an example for Democrats nationwide , who at times focused more on reaching potential voters than on their grassroots participation in state elections, Sonenshein said.
With a high turnout in the 2018 midterm elections and now in the recall, theDemocrats show that they are motivated not only by their own party identity, but specifically by opposition to the Republican Party of today, added Mike Madrid, a Republican political strategist who is a co-founder of the Republican Party. Lincoln Project, an anti-Trump group.
"Trump in a certain spectrum is enough to get them to vote," Madrid said. Report by James Oliphant, Sharon Bernstein and Jarrett Renshaw; Editing by Soyoung Kim and Jonathan Oatis
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